Middle East Monitor

Comprehensive country-by-country macroeconomic analysis, risk appraisals, latest market data and forecasts for the Middle East

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Key stories from this month's issue...

Political Risk Analysis - Marginal Diplomatic Progress; Uncertainty Looming Over Fight Against IS - MAY 2017

East Med March 2017 / Syria / Political Risk

The resumption of the diplomatic process since early 2017 and the dramatic shift in the balance of power in the last months of 2016 will support a positive political momentum towards achieving a peace, although it will be a multi-year process. Meanwhile, the fight against Islamic State, especially the offensive on Raqqa, will continue to be delayed by uncertainty over the US's strategy and clashes between Turkey-backed groups and Kurdish forces.

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Economic Analysis - Stock Market Reforms Positive, But More Needed For Investment Spike - MAY 2017

Gulf March 2017 / Saudi Arabia / Economy

The ongoing reforms of the Saudi stock exchange will result in accession to the MSCI Emerging Markets index by 2018 and result in an uptick in foreign capital flows in the kingdom. Nonetheless, a boom in foreign investment, part of the National Transformation Plan's objectives to 2020, will be contingent on broader reforms, especially addressing Saudi Arabia's weak business environment, as well as the future success of privatisations, most importantly of Aramco.

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