Middle East Monitor

Comprehensive country-by-country macroeconomic analysis, risk appraisals, latest market data and forecasts for the Middle East

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Key stories from this month's issue...

Political Risk Analysis - On The Brink Of Political Paralysis After Hariri's Resignation - JAN 2018

East Med November 2017 / Lebanon / Economy

The resignation of Prime Minister Saad Hariri will weigh on the policy-making process in the months ahead, which will in turn be negative for the Lebanese economy. Recent events also signal increasingly assertive stances of Iran and Saudi Arabia in Lebanon, through allied political parties and militias, thereby increasing security risks.


Political Risk Analysis - Counterterrorism Cooperation Brightens GCC Resolution Prospects, But Obstacles Remain - JAN 2018

Gulf November 2017 / Qatar / Political Risk

The GCC diplomatic crisis will likely be resolved in a matter of months (rather than years) as US pressure on the Quartet to negotiate rises, and economic strain prompts Qatar to demonstrate flexibility in meeting some of the Quartet's key demands. Serious damage has nevertheless been done to intra-GCC ties, and the process of rebuilding trust between member states will take time.