Middle East Monitor

Comprehensive country-by-country macroeconomic analysis, risk appraisals, latest market data and forecasts for the Middle East

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Key stories from this month's issue...

Political Risk Analysis - Referendum Polarisation To Keep Political Risk High - JUNE 2017

East Med April 2017 / Turkey / Economy

Turkey's April 16 referendum will move the country's system of governance in a more autocratic direction, with negative implications for EU relations and long-term growth. The close and contested nature of the result will keep political and societal tensions high, with the 2019 general elections already coming into focus.

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Economic Analysis - GCC: Improving Outlook Driven By Oil Prices, Saudi A Notable Exception - JUNE 2017

Gulf April 2017 / Middle East / Economy

The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) economies will benefit from recovering oil prices in 2017 and 2018, supporting rising investor and consumer confidence, and from ambitious economic diversification plans boosting the non-oil economy. Ahead of their peers in the diversification process, the UAE and Qatar will be regional outperformers, while Saudi Arabia will enter contraction in 2017 amid oil production cuts and spending rationalisation by the government.

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