Middle East Monitor

Comprehensive country-by-country macroeconomic analysis, risk appraisals, latest market data and forecasts for the Middle East

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Key stories from this month's issue...

Political Risk Analysis - Astana Peace Talks: What To Watch - MAR 2017

East Med January 2017 / Syria / Political Risk

The resumption of Syrian peace talks brokered by Russia, Turkey and Iran marks a positive step towards a reduced level of fighting between rebel forces and the regime troops, and reviving the diplomatic process. The alignment of strategies between the different coalitions, US participation in the conference, and the Kurdish question will be key for the future of the peace process.

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Sovereign Debt Analysis - Sovereign Risk: Broad Deterioration In Creditworthiness - MAR 2017

Gulf January 2017 / Middle East / Economy

Sovereign creditworthiness in the MENA economies will broadly deteriorate over the coming quarters given rising interest rates, tightening liquidity and still-large fiscal deficits, even with higher oil prices. While the GCC is well positioned, the outlook is more concerning for Egypt and Lebanon.

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