East Med

Monthly political risk, economic forecasts and business environment analysis on each country market

Latest East Med Analysis

Political Risk Analysis - Marginal Diplomatic Progress; Uncertainty Looming Over Fight Against IS - MAY 2017

The resumption of the diplomatic process since early 2017 and the dramatic shift in the balance of power in the last months of 2016 will support a positive political momentum towards achieving a peace, although it will be a multi-year process. Meanwhile, the fight against Islamic State, especially the offensive on Raqqa, will continue to be delayed by uncertainty over the US's strategy and...

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Political Risk Analysis - Astana Peace Talks: Iran A Key Obstacle To Diplomatic Progress - APR 2017

The resumption of negotiations between the Syrian regime and opposition groups in Astana marks a positive step in the long road towards a peace settlement in Syria. Iran's continued intransigence towards rebel groups and its disagreements with Russia, as well as infighting among opposition forces remain major challenges, suggesting that some level of violence will continue and that reaching an...

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